Home
This Title All WIREs
WIREs RSS Feed
How to cite this WIREs title:
WIREs Comp Stat

Player evaluation using win probabilities in sports competitions

Full article on Wiley Online Library:   HTML PDF

Can't access this content? Tell your librarian.

One type of sports competition between two teams consists of a sequence of plays where the winner is the team with the most points scored. A win probability is a calculation during the game which expresses the likelihood of the home team winning the contest. Win probabilities are helpful in understanding the ebb and flow of the game, and in assessing which plays had the largest impact on the outcome of the contest. This article reviews the definition, construction, and application of win probabilities in a number of sports including the use of this concept in measuring the contribution of individual players. WIREs Comput Stat 2015, 7:316–325. doi: 10.1002/wics.1358 This article is categorized under: Statistical Learning and Exploratory Methods of the Data Sciences > Modeling Methods
Box score of the Giants hitters for the World Series game on October 29, 2014.
[ Normal View | Magnified View ]
Win probability graph for the 49th Super Bowl between the Patriots and the Seahawks.
[ Normal View | Magnified View ]
Graph of the individual values of WPA for each play in the last game of the 2014 World Series.
[ Normal View | Magnified View ]
Probability that Kansas City wins the game after each play in the last game of the 2014 World Series.
[ Normal View | Magnified View ]

Browse by Topic

Statistical Learning and Exploratory Methods of the Data Sciences > Modeling Methods

Access to this WIREs title is by subscription only.

Recommend to Your
Librarian Now!

The latest WIREs articles in your inbox

Sign Up for Article Alerts